andreas baumann, numbers guy.

statistics, religion, game theory, sociology.

Equating probabilistic and deterministic statements.

Equating probabilistic and deterministic statements.

I haven’t written anything on this blog for a long time, and I regret to announce that my return is marked by a link – albeit, a very great one.

Larry Wasserman has this wonderful post explaining the essence of Simpson’s paradox. Since the error of equating a probabilistic statement of the form “X is on average better than Y” with the statement “X is better than Y” is probably the most common of all misinterpretations of statistics, I urge you very much to read his post.

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The US economy is both overregulated and underregulated at the same time.

The US economy is both overregulated and underregulated at the same time.

Nothing is ever simple.

All trials registered. All trials reported.

All trials registered. All trials reported.

The “drawer bias” leads to serious misallocation of ressources in clinical research. Please sign this petition to implement measures to circumvent this practice.