Equating probabilistic and deterministic statements.

by Andreas Baumann

Equating probabilistic and deterministic statements.

I haven’t written anything on this blog for a long time, and I regret to announce that my return is marked by a link – albeit, a very great one.

Larry Wasserman has this wonderful post explaining the essence of Simpson’s paradox. Since the error of equating a probabilistic statement of the form “X is on average better than Y” with the statement “X is better than Y” is probably the most common of all misinterpretations of statistics, I urge you very much to read his post.